Issued 05 December 2023
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 1
Long Haul Premium: Upper Middle Class ─ for the Upper
Middle Class
This report reviews this cabin’s appeal to upper income leisure travelers and price-
conscious business travelers, and includes a review of adoption by 20 key airlines.
Contents
CABIN LAYOUT IS A REAL ESTATE GAME ............................................................ 4
THE PANDEMIC BOOSTED PREMIUM ECONOMY ................................................ 5
IT’S NOT YOUR IMAGINATION, THERE ARE MORE PREMIUM SEATS ................ 7
LOW COST CARRIERS UPGRADE THEMSELVES ................................................. 8
THE LONG-HAUL PRODUCT IS GLOBALLY CONSISTENT ................................... 9
MORE IS NOT ALWAYS BETTER........................................................................... 11
AN INDUSTRY MOVING TO OPTIMUM RESULTS ................................................ 14
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Issued by IdeaWorksCompany.com LLC
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www.IdeaWorksCompany.com
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 2
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 3
About Jay Sorensen, Writer of the Report
Jay Sorensen’s research and reports have made him a leading authority on frequent flyer
programs and the ancillary revenue movement. He is a regular keynote speaker at ancillary
revenue and airline retail conferences and has testified to the US Congress on ancillary
revenue issues. His published works are relied upon by airline executives throughout the
world and include first-ever
guides on the topics of
ancillary revenue and loyalty
marketing.
Mr. Sorensen has 38 years
experience in product,
partnership, and marketing
development. As president of
the IdeaWorksCompany
consulting firm, he has helped
boost airline revenue, started
loyalty programs and co-
branded credit cards, developed products in the service sector, and helped start an airline
and other travel companies. His career includes 13 years at Midwest Airlines where he was
responsible for marketing, sales, customer service, product development, operations,
planning, financial analysis and budgeting. His favorite activities are hiking, exploring and
camping in US national parks with his family.
About Eric Lucas, Editor of the Report
Eric Lucas is an international journalist whose work has appeared in
Michelin travel guides, Alaska Airlines Beyond Magazine, Epoch
Times, Westways and many other publications. Founding editor of
Midwest Airlines Magazine, he is the author of eight books. Eric has
followed and written about the travel industry for more than 30 years.
He lives on San Juan Island, Washington, where he grows organic
garlic, apples, beans and hay; visit him online at
TrailNot4Sissies.com.
Disclosure to Readers of this Report
IdeaWorksCompany makes every effort to ensure the quality of the information in this report.
Before relying on the information, you should obtain appropriate professional advice relevant
to your particular circumstances. IdeaWorksCompany cannot guarantee, and assumes no
legal liability or responsibility for, the accuracy, currency or completeness of the information.
The views expressed in the report are the views of the author, and do not represent the
official view of CarTrawler.
Eric, at his favorite summer retreat, Steens Mountain, Oregon.
Jay with sons Anton and Aleksei at Artist Point in Yellowstone
National Park.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 4
CABIN LAYOUT IS A REAL ESTATE GAME
Premium economy has become a very attractive product for airlines to consider. I
have written this report to review why this “middle
cabin” has become a hot property and how
airlines can maximize its revenue potential.
An aircraft fresh from the factory can be
considered an empty canvas, or perhaps an
empty plot of land to be developed. Real estate
developers consider how much space to allocate
luxury condominiums, mid-market apartments,
and units priced for first-time renters. It’s crucial
to find the right mix because buildings are not
easily changed once built.
Similar practices also apply to the business of
designing aircraft interiors. The initial layout
chosen for an airliner can be very unforgiving if
changes are required for the placement of seat
tracks, overhead bins, and galleys. Economics
also play a significant role when the cabin space
allocated for a business class passenger might
instead accommodate four economy class
passengers.
Global network carriers have a reputation for complexity. For example, Emirates
operates a 4-class Airbus A380 featuring first, business, premium economy and
economy cabins. Significant space has also been allocated for a bar and lounge
area for first and business class passengers. It’s a flying village designed to serve
the short-term dreams and desires of a population of 484 passengers.
Premium economy has emerged as a property with high “curb appeal” with its oh-so-
attractive position of providing affordable luxury. For long-haul travelers, it’s an
upper middle class seat priced for the upper middle class. I believe we have entered
an era where premium economy has the potential to deliver more profits than
business class.
Rather like premium economy, Marvin
Gardens on the US edition of the
Monopoly board is positioned between
the cheapest and most expensive
properties. Image: Pre-patent game
card from 1935.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 5
THE PANDEMIC BOOSTED PREMIUM ECONOMY
Covid led to millions of deaths, the disruption of cultures and institutions, and
changes to travel behaviors. The airline industry reacted quickly to the virus with an
array of defenses such as enhanced cleaning and sanitizing, passenger handling
procedures to minimize contagion, and technology to communicate government
travel regulations and passenger vaccination status. Post-pandemic, we have seen
a significant reduction in work-related travel and an increased urge by some
consumers to spend more on personal comfort and convenience. It’s these factors
that have boosted consumer demand for premium economy.
Signs pointing to a sustained decrease of work-related traffic abound in the media:
Airlines in the US confess work-related traffic remains below pre-pandemic
levels with Alaska down 25 percent and JetBlue down 20 percent.
1
Europe’s largest airline group, Lufthansa, had seen a post-pandemic traffic
rebound of 60 percent through mid-2023, and hopes for a 70 percent recovery
by year end.
2
Etihad is relying on deploying more giant A380 aircraft to fill premium cabins
with leisure travelers, said the carrier’s VP for Europe and the Americas.
3
Southwest lowered flight thresholds for elite status by 20 percent.
4
Alaska Airlines is focusing aircraft capacity on leisure routes, and will trim
business-focused route capacity in the Pacific Northwest and California by 22
percent (year over year) for January and February of the 1
st
quarter of 2024.
5
The loss of work-related traffic is around 25 percent since the pandemic. It will
eventually recover to 2019 levels, but this will be due to normal annual traffic growth
and increased business activity. Online meeting services, notably Zoom, were
already in use at the beginning of the pandemic. Businesses embraced these tools
as a replacement for business travel. This practice enjoys significant staying power
in the post-pandemic era and contributes to the sluggish return of work-related
travel. Another factor is the carbon mitigation objectives announced by global
corporations. Travel, as a scope 3 emission, can be reduced through various
initiatives, one of which includes taking fewer business trips.
Airline executives have been keen to talk about blended travel, or business-leisure
trips, as representing an evolution of work-related travel. I think this activity has
always existed, but I agree, the pandemic has encouraged more of it. Business
travel revenue is another referenced statistic, with executives disclosing it’s close to
2019 levels. But I believe the gains are largely due to higher fares and inflation.
1
“Sluggish return of business travelers forces US airlines to rejig their networks” 02 August 2023,
Reuters.
2
“Europe’s Business Travel Rebound Slips Away From Airlines’ Grip” 06 August 2023, Bloomberg.
3
Etihad Bets on Premium Leisure With Return of Apartments in Sky26 July 2023, Bloomberg.
4
“Southwest Airlines Announces Several Enhancements To Rapid Rewards Program For 2024”
Southwest 16 October 2023 press release.
5
Alaska Airlines 3
rd
quarter 2023 earnings call transcript at TheMotleyFool.com.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 6
The troubles associated with the global economy have forced some work-related
travelers to downgrade from the expense of business class. Premium economy is
the perfect place for these folks to land. Without it, many would buy lower yielding
economy fares, which represents a significant revenue downgrade for an airline.
Airlines are eager to fill the revenue and traffic hole created by these changes with
something . . . and higher spending leisure travelers are a timely choice.
“Premium” has emerged as a post-pandemic buzzword for airlines, and for the travel
industry overall. The word is liberally applied to a wide array of travel products, such
as first and business class, airport lounges, luxury hotels, big SUV rental cars, and of
course, premium economy. The pandemic gave consumers permission to spend
money to create more personal space while traveling. Larger seats, more seat pitch,
and airport lounge access deliver a sense of personal security and crowd control.
Delta has been very vocal about its desire to attract and dominate this market.
The upper-middle
class of the US is
an attractive
market for
premium-oriented
products. This
group is usually
defined as having
household income
in the $100,000 to
$350,000 range.
6
These folks need
not be very careful
about how they
spend money. The broad US middle class are great travel consumers, but with
household income ranging from $30,000 to $100,000, they are careful spenders.
The US economic system has not been kind to lower and middle income
households; their share of the country’s economic bounty has deteriorated over time.
However, the target market of upper middle income households has grown
considerably, representing just 13 percent in 1979,
7
and by my calculation jumping to
32 percent for 2022. That was nearly 42 million households for 2022, with total
income of more than $7.6 trillion. That is an attractive 54.7 percent share of 2022
US household income of $14 trillion.
8
It also represents a giant pool of affluent
buying power that the travel industry is eager to capture.
6
“The Upper Middle Class Continued to Grow from 2014 to 2019” report dated February 2021, The
Urban Institute.
7
“The Upper Middle Class Continued to Grow from 2014 to 2019” report dated February 2021, The
Urban Institute.
8
Based upon US Census Bureau average (mean) household income of $106,400 for 2022.
Low Income
(below $30K)
21%
Middle Income
($30-$100K)
44%
Upper Middle
Income ($100-
$350K)
32%
Rich ($350K+)
3%
US Distribution of Households by Income Level - 2022
Data Sources: US Census Bureau Data, Urban Institute (definitions of income levels)
and IdeaWorksCompany calculations.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 7
IT’S NOT YOUR IMAGINATION, THERE ARE MORE PREMIUM SEATS
The New York Times reported earlier this year that “Major US airlines are expanding
premium seating by 25% to 75% in portions of their fleets.”
9
The premium category
includes everything from first class to economy plus (extra-leg-room seating). Delta
has added 15,000 premium economy or business class seats to its daily schedule
since the pandemic. As a specific example, the airline removed 20 economy seats
and 6
business class
seats on its
long haul 767
aircraft to
create a 20-
seat premium
economy
cabin.
Other
examples
include
SWISS, which
will introduce
its largest premium economy cabin on long haul A350-900 aircraft in 2025 with 38
seats.
10
American recently disclosed it plans to grow its entire category of premium
seating by 43 percent between the 3
rd
quarter of 2023 and 2026.
11
The complexity and lead time associated with cabin retrofits requires airlines to
carefully consider future market opportunities. Clearly airlines are anticipating a
larger haul of upper income passengers. There is ample opportunity here; as of the
summer of 2023, the slice occupied by premium economy on widebody aircraft was
a slender 4.6 percent. Look for airlines to follow Delta’s lead by converting a few
business class seats, and a bigger chunk of economy seats, to a premium economy
configuration on long-haul aircraft. It’s no wonder airlines are intrigued United
recently disclosed in its 3
rd
quarter 2023 investor call that Premium Plus is now its
most profitable cabin.
Global network airlines enjoy access to a waiting marketplace, but low cost carriers
(LCCs) are also reaching for premium passengers. Some, such as AirAsia X,
Condor, and FlyDubai, offer a lie-flat cabin similar to the global giants. The usual
LCC upgrade has been a premium economy seat which may offer amenities, such
as meals, on an a la carte basis.
9
“It’s not your imagination: First class is getting bigger” article dated 18 May 2023, New York Times.
10
“SWISS to enlarge Premium Economy cabin for its Airbus A350s” press release dated 11
September 2023 at SWISS website.
11
American Airlines, Q3 2023 earnings call transcript dated 20 October 2023.
First Class,
0.6%
Business
Class,
12.2%
Premium
Economy,
4.6%
Economy &
Extra Leg
Room,
82.6%
Seat Distribution on Widebody Aircraft
Top 50 Traditional Airlines
Source: CAPA, Fleet Database, week of 17 July 2023 schedules.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 8
LOW COST CARRIERS UPGRADE THEMSELVES
LCCs don’t rely on the corporate travelers served by global network carriers. Rather,
they encourage their existing budget travelers to splurge on a nicer cabin
experience. But enticing a new category of customer has become increasingly
common. My recent conversation
with Charles Duncan, President of
Norse Atlantic supports this narrative:
"Premium allows Norse to attract
travelers who might not normally
consider flying a LCC. Our economy
cabin has an immediate audience
because consumers know us for low
fares, great value. You could
consider the traffic we carry in
premium to be incremental. Without
that cabin, we likely would not carry
those passengers. Also, the offer lifts the quality perception for the entire airline
because a two class airline carries more consumer clout."
That type of thinking allows LCCs to be very creative in the product sold to
consumers. Originally LCCs were purist in their product approach to premium
economy with most using the a la carte method for checked baggage, assigned
seats, meals and beverages. Over time, many have morphed to an inclusive style
with these items provided without extra charge. Norse Atlantic takes a blended
approach by selling branded fares for its premium class: Light, Classic, and Flextra.
The three fares include a base level of amenities for its transatlantic flights: large
carry-on allowance, two meal services, with drinks available throughout a flight,
priority check-in, and early boarding. It’s a model designed to encourage an easy
comparison with the premium economy class offered by global network carriers.
The 43-inch pitch for Premium class on Norse Atlantic
is more generous than the usual 38-inch pitch found
on global network airlines. Image: Norse Atlantic
Norse Atlantic uses a classic branded fare presentation; typical results would suggest 50 percent of
shoppers buy their Premium Classic fare.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 9
THE LONG-HAUL PRODUCT IS GLOBALLY CONSISTENT
Seating offering a 38-inch pitch and 19-inch width, with a better-than-coach meal,”
just about sums up the global standard for premium economy. That’s more
generous than the usual 31-inch pitch and 18-inch width of long-haul coach. Other
amenities are often included, such as a couple of checked bags, early boarding, and
standard seat assignment. There are exceptions, with examples being British
Airways, Lufthansa and SAS charging fees for assigned seats.
Summary of Long Haul Premium Economy Services
20 Leading Global Network Carriers
Based upon review of airline websites and other sources November 2023
Regions
Airlines
Brand
Pitch
(inches)
Width
(inches)
Upgraded
Meal/Drinks
Other Notable
Amenities
Asia /
Pacific
Air China
Premium Economy
36-39
18-20
Cathay Pacific
Premium Economy
38-40
19.5-20
Japan Airlines
Premium Economy
38-42
18-19.3
Limited lounge access
Korean Air
Not Offered
Qantas
Premium Economy
38-42
19.5-20.5
Singapore
Premium Economy
38
19.5
Pre-select entree
Europe
Air France
Premium Economy
38-40
19
Fast track
British Airways
World Traveller Plus
38
18.5
Finnair
Premium Economy
38
18
Lufthansa
Premium Economy
38-39
18-19
SAS
SAS Plus
38
18.3
Airport lounge,
fast track
Turkish
Not Offered
Middle
East
Emirates
Premium Economy
38-40
19.5
Qatar Airways
Not Offered
Latin
America
Avianca
Not Offered
LATAM Airlines
Not Offered
North
America
Air Canada
Premium Economy
38
18-20
American
Premium Economy
38
18.5-19
Fast track
Delta
Premium Select
38
18.5-19.5
Fast track
United
Premium Plus
38
18.5-19
Fast track,
lounge discount
Notes: Premium economy might not be offered on all long-haul routes of an airline. Seat pitch and
width also obtained from SeatGuru.com and other online sources (rarely found at airline websites).
The provision of access to a lounge is largely excluded from premium economy.
SAS has made lounge access a point of distinction for its SAS Plus cabin. United
offers one-time access at a discount below the usual $59 price. A recent booking
query produced prices of $32 and $45.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 10
Among the airline websites visited while researching this report, Japan Airlines was
found to have a very attractive premium economy seat. The seat mimics some of
the features found in business
class. Recline and leg rest
movement are motorized, and
large moveable panels increase
privacy. The seatback monitor
measures 16 inches across with
an AC power outlet and USB
charging ports available at all
seats. However, the catering
offer is shared with economy
class with the added amenity of
Champagne. Contrary to
standard practice, lounge
access is provided for
passengers departing on
international flights.
The global standard for premium
economy meals is a full tray,
featuring higher quality food
than economy, with china and
linen. The upgrade typically
also applies for the beverage
service, with most airlines
offering a wine selection that
bridges the gap between
economy and business.
Finding the right balance of
amenities is a continuing challenge. The comfort must be better than economy, but
the luxury should not match the business cabin. I’ve had many conversations with
cabin crew on flights equipped with premium economy. Flight attendants confess a
level of frustration, “The passengers expect business class style service from us, we
just aren’t equipped to deliver that in premium economy.” They have also indicated
premium economy passengers are the most demanding of all cabin classes. The
premium paid likely increases expectations for these former economy passengers.
Airlines reserve lounge access and extravagant multi-course meals for business
class as incentives to justify the big price leap to the business class cabin. But of
course, the most crucial amenity is the seat itself. Here again, compromise is the
solution sought by airlines. You might get a nicer pillow than coach class, and even
a light duvet, but the recline will be nowhere near the lie-flat experience of business
class.
The Japan Airlines premium economy seat on A350 aircraft
features a fixed shell which preserves space for the person
behind you when the seat reclines.
It's no surprise that Emirates offers a premium economy
meal with tremendous eye appeal.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 11
MORE IS NOT ALWAYS BETTER
The old model of operating an airline in a low fare environment was to fill the cabin
with seats. LCCs would reduce seat pitch and width to the bare minimum.
Traditional airlines offered a modest improvement of coach class comfort to fortify a
better brand position. The ancillary revenue revolution taught the industry that a
good share of consumers would pay a premium for more comfort and convenience.
Thus, extra-leg-room seats were born, and these would eventually grow into a
separate premium economy cabin.
Designing an aircraft cabin layout, and creating the best seat products to fill it,
require decisions that have long term consequences. American learned the dangers
of this when its angled-flat business seats flew for too long, while competitors were
introducing dramatically better fully-flat seats. Airlines that don’t have a premium
economy cabin are very likely feeling pains of remorse. The question has become
“How do we maximize premium economy revenue? The industry has passed the
point of debate regarding the viability of premium economy.
Which way to go? Does the carrier’s layout have too few premium economy seats?
This can be addressed with
higher fares. However, this
may spill consumers to
competitors. Too many
premium economy seats?
That’s actually a larger
problem because poorly
allocated real estate also
affects the economics of
neighboring cabins.
Discounting premium
economy fares to fill seats
will upset the delicate balance described earlier in this report. Business class
passengers might be more tempted to save money by downgrading, and economy
class might appear to be less of a bargain.
Sales per square foot measures retail productivity and reveals how effectively a
retailer uses its selling space to generate revenue. It is calculated by dividing total
sales revenue by the actual square footage of selling space. I’ve adopted this same
measurement to compare premium economy to other classes. Prevailing wisdom in
the airline industry places business class as the big money maker. That top-of-the-
hill position has been challenged by the forces described throughout this report. The
question has become, is premium economy up to the challenge? My analysis
reveals premium economy can be a revenue leader when measured on the price it
can fetch per square foot.
Main deck and on the nose. Lufthansa placed its A380 premium
economy cabin where one might usually find first class.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 12
Let’s apply retail practice to the airline industry. Three components are required to
accomplish this: 1) average ticket price, 2) square feet per seat type, and 3) route
distance. The result of the analysis is “average price, per mile, per square foot.” I
used published fares to perform these calculations which provides acceptable results
for comparing cabins within a particular aircraft type for a specific airline. This is not
a passenger yield evaluation, which would allow comparison between airlines. The
method provides a high-level review of the relative potential of each cabin class.
The table below provides the results associated with the evaluation of three airlines:
American, Delta, and Norse Atlantic.
Cabin Class Space and Pricing Evaluation
Revenue Potential per Square Foot for Business, Premium Economy, Economy Plus and Main Cabin
American
Delta
Norse Atlantic
Aircraft Evaluated
787-9
A330-300
787-9
Routes Queried
Chicago London
Philadelphia London
Atlanta Amsterdam
New York Paris
Orlando London
New York London
Range of Fare Queries
15 roundtrip dates for each route from October 2023 to June 2024.
Square Feet Calculation per Seat Type
Business
18.0
18.0
Type not offered
Premium Economy
8.4
7.8
9.3
Economy Plus
6.4
6.4
Type not offered
Main Cabin
5.3
5.7
5.3
Revenue Potential per Square Foot Indexed to Premium Economy
Business
136
82
Not applicable
Premium Economy
100
100
100
Economy Plus
89
67
Not applicable
Main Cabin
90
57
113
Allocation of Square Feet Premium Seats and Main Cabin (for aircraft type queried)
Business, Premium
Economy, and Plus
47%
45%
26%
Main Cabin
53%
55%
74%
Distribution of Seats Premium Seats and Main Cabin (for aircraft type queried)
Business, Premium
Economy, and Plus
30%
28%
17%
Main Cabin
70%
72%
83%
- Notes for Fare Analysis: Lowest fares for nonstop flights on specific aircraft queried on 10 and 17
October 2023. Calculations include carrier surcharges, but exclude all government taxes/fees. For AA,
Main Cabin Extra based upon Main Cabin fare plus seat fee for lowest priced Main Cabin Extra seat.
- Notes for Seat Calculations: Square feet includes space on cabin floor occupied by seating area and
aisles. Calculated using aircraft maps, Boeing and Airbus specifications, and seat pitch and width
disclosures by airlines and other online sources. Economy Plus is a zone of extra-leg-room seats.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 13
For each carrier, a specific aircraft type was selected for square foot calculations.
This was accomplished by reviewing seat maps, LoPA drawings (Location of
Passenger Accommodations), aircraft manufacturer measurements, and seat
specifications found at the airline websites, or online services such as
SeatGuru.com. The area for each seat type includes the cabin space occupied by a
seat and adjacent aisles. Galleys and toilets were not included because these often
serve multiple cabins.
Fares were collected for a range of roundtrip itineraries from October 2023 through
June 2024 using different days of the week (connecting fares were not included).
Admittedly, the queries were made during a single week in October and prevented a
more thorough examination of seasonality. The exact same process was used for
each carrier to provide an apples-to-apples comparison. To prevent readers from
equating the outcome with “passenger yield” an index was created, which is tied to
the premium economy result. I can disclose the “average price, per mile, per square
foot” for premium economy seating ranged from 1.6 cents ($0.016) to 5.3 cents
($0.053) for the three carriers. The consideration of load factor for each cabin is a
missing element. However, a carrier’s available fares do provide a high-level
reflection of whether demand is high or low for seats.
The results from the three airlines are very different. Delta supports the hypothesis
that premium economy can perform better than business class. With the index set at
100 for Premium Select, the performance of Delta One business class is lower with
an index of 88. With American, the opposite is true. With the index set at 100 for
Premium Economy, the index for Flagship Business class is higher at 136. For this
particular sample of American’s operations, the prevailing wisdom continues to
prevail. Norse Atlantic provides yet a third type of outcome, with plain economy
providing the best opportunity for the operations queried.
The index is a simple indicator and measures revenue potential for a cabin class.
Airlines have various levers for manipulating financial outcomes. The initial design of
a seat and the layout of a cabin are long term decisions that require significant
capital investment. Shorter term decisions include pricing, service design, marketing
and promotion. Factors beyond the index include competitive pressures, brand
positioning, and a carrier’s reputation with its customers. When all of these elements
are considered together, the index reveals where management might want to direct
its efforts. The index result for each cabin can be interpreted as a strength or
weakness.
Delta could interpret the relative strength of Premium Select as a call to increase
cabin size because it represents the best allocation of cabin space. The airline could
also choose to reduce premium economy fares to align the index closer to the
business and economy cabin results. American could reallocate space from the
economy cabin to better-performing premium economy and business cabins. The
Norse Atlantic results are fascinating because they suggest their premium is
underappreciated by consumers, and underpriced by the airline.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 14
Norse Atlantic might be facing the problem of having too many premium economy
seats, which might explain the lack of pricing power. The airline inherited the 787
aircraft cabin layout and didn’t start with a clean sheet. But perhaps there’s an
opportunity here for the airline to upgrade its service, promote it to self-employed
business travelers, and offer loyalty benefits. This would place Norse Atlantic closer
to global network carriers, and perhaps allow the airline to increase premium
economy fares and traffic. One intent of this report is to engage airline management
teams in the evaluation of how to better allocate cabin space in an era of premium
economy awareness.
AN INDUSTRY MOVING TO OPTIMUM RESULTS
The best measurement of economic performance is often profitability. The index
developed for this report largely neglects yield and ignores costs. These factors are
not publicly disclosed by airlines, but are certainly available to their management
teams. “Profit per square foot, per mile” when calculated for a class of service would
provide an accurate assessment of the best cabin allocation. The method in this
report, and the suggestion of basing it on profitability, recognizes the finite space of
the aircraft cabin. The challenge for management is to make the best use of that
space.
In theory, optimum results would be reached when all cabins produce the same
profitability per square foot, per mile flown. This parity would reflect the perfect
allocation of aircraft space. In actual practice airlines attempt to accomplish this
today. The development of ancillary revenue and the introduction of premium
economy is disrupting the status quo, and this requires continuous evaluation of
cabin economics.
I believe the future will allocate seats in a 45-50-5 ratio; 45 percent of seats in the
main cabin, 50 percent for extra leg room and premium economy, and 5 percent as a
top product, such as business class. This is a big change from current practice. But
it aligns with my experience of consumer behavior; 45 percent of consumers only
consider the lowest fare, 50 percent will pay a premium for more comfort and
convenience, and 5 percent seek the very best. The distribution of income in the
US, described earlier in this report, provides demographic support for this seating
configuration and the revenue opportunity.
Improvement is only achieved when results are measured, new strategies are
developed, and the status quo is challenged. This report hopes to encourage
dialogue on how best to proceed. Premium economy for long haul routes opens the
door to gain more revenue from the sizeable portion of consumers who are ready,
willing, and able to spend a bit more for a better experience. They are upper middle
class consumers who seek an upper middle class travel experience. Revenue
magic occurs when airlines sell services that align with the buying power of individual
consumers, while delivering great value and quality.
Premium Economy Finds Its Moment for the Long Haul IdeaWorksCompany © 2023 Page 15